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    Yardi Matrix expects fall student housing occupancy to finish below 2025 as new supply grows

    Market DataUS

    Preliminary September occupancy across 200 university markets tracked by Yardi Matrix was 94.5%, level with a year earlier, but fall occupancy is projected to finish below 2025, Building Design + Construction reported. More than 31,000 off-campus bedrooms were delivered in 2026, up 20% from 2025, and properties delivered this year averaged 84.1% occupancy in September. Average advertised rent was $928 per bedroom, up 1.6% year over year, while the 10 markets with the most new supply saw occupancy fall 300 basis points to 92.8% and rents decline 1.2%.

    Why it matters

    Operators near schools with heavy new supply or falling enrollment, including North Carolina State, Central Florida, Arkansas and Arizona State, are seeing the steepest rent declines, ranging from 3.3% to 6.0%.

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